NRL Preliminary Finals Expert Tips & Predictions

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The NRL Preliminary Finals kick off this Friday with four teams hoping for a spot NRL Grand Final.

The opening game is the Panthers vs Storm, followed by the Broncos vs Warriors on Saturday night, so the top four teams in the regular season are left.

We have our best NRL betting tips for the NRL Preliminary Finals games.


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NRL Preliminary Finals Tips

Friday 22/9/23

7:50pm Penrith Panthers vs Melbourne Storm @ Accor Stadium

The Penrith Panthers have stormed into the finals, excuse the pun. They have been the best team all year, and despite some injury problems at times, they’ve managed to put that to the side and cruise into the Grand Final qualifying contest.

It hasn’t been so easy for the Melbourne Storm, who have also endured a raft of injuries. They needed all 80 minutes to get past the Sydney Roosters last week, and although it was a gutsy effort, there is cause for concern against the Panthers.

Bookmakers have the Panthers at $1.18 in head-to-head markets, which is fair considering they are the two-time defending champions. They are –12.5 with points spread markets, which makes life interesting for punters.

We have no doubt the Panthers are the better team but beating Melbourne by 13 points in a finals game isn’t easy. We expect money to come for the Storm at the line, and they’re good enough to keep it close.

Betting tip: Storm +12.5 @ $1.90

Panthers by 10

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Panthers vs Storm – betr Same Game Multi

We’ve teamed up with betr to provide the GoBet Multi for the first game of every round of the 2023 NRL season.

The Storm getting +12.5 points is too good to pass up, so they’re included in our same game multi. It could be a low-scoring affair as the defence on both sides steps up. Under 38.5 points is worth including as the final score could be 24-14. We also like Brian To’o to score. He has been in fine try-scoring form towards the end of the year, so punters should get value odds for the Panthers winger to cross the line.

View our betr SGM here!

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Saturday 23/9/23

7:50pm Brisbane Broncos vs New Zealand Warriors @ Suncorp Stadium

Fireworks are expected as rivals Brisbane and New Zealand battle for a spot in the final.

The Broncos have been one of the most exciting teams all year, and they would have appreciated having the bye last week to rest their bodies.

However, no matter how good the Broncos have looked, the Warriors are rolling, and their defence is good enough to keep them in the game.

The Warriors could have more people in the crowd than the Broncos. Brisbane is saturated with Kiwis, so this won’t feel like a road game for the $3.90 underdogs, especially given their history of beating the Broncos at Suncorp Stadium.

There are more points with the Broncos, but don’t underrate the Warriors defence. It’s solid and getting +10.5 points is too much to ignore. All it will take from the Warriors to keep it close is some solid defence and Shaun Johnson attacking the line.

We expect it to come down to the final 20 minutes, so take the value with the visitors, and they could even nab a late win.

Betting tip: Warriors +10.5 @ $1.90

Broncos by 4

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Our top rated and recommended bookmaker for NRL Preliminary Finals is betr.

Other top rated bookmakers for the NRL Preliminary Finals include PicklebetBoombet, and Bet365.

To find out our best bets for the NRL Preliminary Finals, read our full NRL Preliminary Finals preview and betting tips!

For detailed information on how to watch and live stream the NRL Preliminary Finals, read our guide on how to live stream NRL!

Read our NRL Preliminary Finals preview and betting tips to find out all of the fixtures and locations for the round!

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About Daryl Curnow

After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA - English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism. Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 - with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports. Daryl's tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he's not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.