NRL Finals Week 1 Expert Tips & Predictions

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NRL Finals Week 1 kicks off this Friday with the Broncos vs Storm, and we have our best NRL tips for every game this season.

The finals are finally here and there are some terrific games scheduled, including Panthers vs Warriors and Sharks vs Roosters.

It’s all or nothing for the Sharks, Roosters, Knights and Raiders, which makes for exciting league.

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NRL Round Finals Week 1 Tips

Friday 8/9/23

7:50pm Brisbane Broncos vs Melbourne Storm @ Suncorp Stadium

It’s a replay of last week’s game, but this time around, they are full strength.

The Broncos gave up a chance to win the minor premiership when resting their star players last week, but they were looking at the bigger picture.

We expect the Broncos to be tough to beat against the Storm. They have been the best team in the NRL throughout the week, and they would love a week off.

Melbourne is always tough to beat in the finals, but we haven’t been as impressed with it in 2023. Therefore, we’re taking the Broncos to win the game outright.

Betting tip: Broncos @ $1.60

Broncos by 4

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Broncos vs Storm – betr Same Game Multi

We’ve teamed up with betr to provide the GoBet Multi for the first game of every round of the 2023 NRL season.

Bookmakers have the line at –4.5, which is a bit tricky, so we’re including the Broncos head-to-head in our same game multi. They should prevail in front of a huge home crowd at Suncorp Stadium, and we think there will be plenty of points. Include over 42.5 total match points, in what could be a 24-20 game. To boost payouts, include Selwyn Cobbo to score. He comes up big in the biggest games, so he should have an impact on this game.

View our betr SGM here!

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Saturday 9/9/23

4:00pm Penrith Panthers vs New Zealand Warriors @ BlueBet Stadium

The Penrith Panthers are a bogey team for the Warriors, which is why bookmakers have the line at 12.5.

Playing at home is a huge bonus for the Panthers, who are without a couple of good players, including Jarome Luai, which can’t be overlooked.

Given how well they have played in 2023, the Warriors are good enough to keep it close. They just need to defend the pinpoint kicks from Nathan Cleary, which is their best attacking option.

It’s unlikely the Warriors will win the game outright, but getting a two-try head start is well worth taking. They have played good defence, and that could be enough to keep it close.

Betting tip: Warriors +12.5 @ $1.90

Panthers by 10

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7:50pm Cronulla Sharks vs Sydney Roosters @ PointsBet Stadium

We have no idea how the Sydney Roosters made the NRL finals, but they have a chance to score an upset win over the Sharks.

Cronulla limped into the finals, and it took a win against a 12-man Raiders outfit to secure their sixth spot on the ladder.

There are massive concerns for both sides, and we don’t think the winner of this game will progress much further. However, it’s the closest game of the week and we expect 50/50 split with bookmakers’ odds.

Our slight advantage goes to the Sharks. They looked impressive earlier in the year, and anything close to that form would be good enough.

The Roosters have been awful for the most part, and we’re not convinced.

Betting tip: Sharks @ $1.91

Sharks by 6

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Sunday 10/9/23

4:05pm Newcastle Knights vs Canberra Raiders @ McDonald Jones Stadium

The Knights are the hottest team in the NRL, and we can’t imagine a world where the Raiders beat them.

Canberra isn’t a team that’s good enough to compete at a high level, and although Newcastle’s rise has come from nowhere, it’s playing with confidence.

Bookmakers have the line at 11.5, which is fair considering their form. That’s a tough number to cover in a do-or-die situation, but the Knights are rolling, and we don’t see the Raiders slowing them down.

Betting tip: Knights –11.5 @ $1.90

Knights by 14

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Our top rated and recommended bookmaker for NRL Finals Week 1 is betr.

Other top rated bookmakers for NRL Finals Week 1 include PicklebetBoombet, and Bet365.

To find out our best bets for NRL Finals Week 1, read our full NRL Finals Week 1 preview and betting tips!

For detailed information on how to watch and live stream NRL Finals Week 1, read our guide on how to live stream NRL!

Read our NRL Finals Week 1 preview and bettings tips to find out all of the fixtures and locations for the week 1 of the NRL finals!

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About Daryl Curnow

After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA - English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism. Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 - with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports. Daryl's tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he's not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.