NRL Round 1 Expert Tips & Predictions

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The NRL is back, and we have Round 1 expert betting tips.

It’s a unique start to the year with a Las Vegas double-header on Sunday before local action starts on Thursday next week.

There is value throughout the year, and we have NRL tips for every game and you can place your bets with the best betting sites in Australia!


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NRL Round 1 Tips

Sunday 3/3/24

1:30pm Manly Sea Eagles vs South Sydney Rabbitohs @ Allegiant Stadium

We have big expectations for the South Sydney Rabbitohs, and punters get value odds for their opener in Las Vegas.

After opening at $1.67, they drifted to $1.70. It’s a slight concern, but based on the talent they have available, they should beat the Sea Eagles.

The lifestyle in Vegas could impact some players’ mentality, but given the Rabbitohs experience, they should cope with the pressure, and they’re the more entertaining team.

Betting tip: Rabbitohs @ $1.70

Rabbitohs by 6

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3:30pm Sydney Roosters vs Brisbane Broncos @ Allegiant Stadium

Brisbane needs to bounce back after a devastating loss in the Grand Final to the Panthers, but a trip to Vegas could work in its favour.

The Broncos have the talent to make another deep run, hence the $1.57 odds against the Roosters on Sunday.

Sydney also has a wealth of talent, so punters could be enticed by the $2.42 odds. That’s a value price, so we’re taking the Roosters to pull off the upset.

Betting tip: Roosters @ $2.42

Roosters by 4

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Thursday 7/3/24

8:00pm Newcastle Knights vs Canberra Raiders @ McDonald Jones Stadium

The Knights showed their potential last season, and we expect them to fire up in the early stages.

They get every advantage playing at home, and the Raiders could struggle in 2024, especially if their pre season form is anything to go by.

Covering a –6.5 spread isn’t easy, but the Knights have every chance to turn on the jets and outscore the Raiders.

Betting tip: Knights -6.5 @ $1.90

Knights by 12

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Friday 8/3/24

6:00pm New Zealand Warriors vs Cronulla Sharks @ Go Media Stadium

The Warriors have a tough Round 1 game against the Sharks, but we’re taking the home side to win.

They come off a huge 2023, where they made the semifinals, and that should give them plenty of confidence.

Getting Roger Tuivasa-Sheck back is a massive bonus, and the Sharks might need a few more weeks to show their best.

Betting tip: Warriors @ $1.60

Warriors by 4

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8:05pm Melbourne Storm vs Penrith Panthers @ AAMI Park

It’s rare to see the Melbourne Storm not favoured to win at home, so it’s tough to turn down the value.

They play defending champions Penrith, which had to play a tough battle against St Helens last week, which could take its toll.

There is enough value with the $2.24 odds for the home side, and it’s rare to see the Storm lose at AAMI Park.

Betting tip: Storm @ $2.24

Storm by 4

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Saturday 9/3/24

5:30pm Parramatta Eels vs Canterbury Bulldogs @ CommBank Stadium

We have little hope for the Bulldogs in 2024, and the Eels usually start their season off with a bang.

They don’t need time to click, and kicking off their season against the Bulldogs only helps their chances to boost confidence levels.

Making the playoffs is a win for both sides, but the Eels should start with a win.

Betting tip: Eels –5.5 @ $1.90

Eels by 8

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7:35pm Gold Coast Titans vs St George Dragons @ Cbus Super Stadium

The Titans get the luxury of kicking things off at home, and that could be enough to beat the Dragons.

We expect the Dragons to be near the bottom of the NRL ladder, and the Titans have enough potential to make the playoffs.

Losing to the Dragons would be terrible, so punters should expect an easy home win.

Betting tip: Titans –5.5 @ $1.90

Titans by 10

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Sunday 10/3/24

4:05pm Dolphins vs North Queensland Cowboys @ Suncorp Stadium

Most of the early money is with the Cowboys, but there is good underdog value with the Dolphins.

They are the new kids on the block, but they showed enough ability in 2023 to warrant attention at the $2.67 odds.

It could be an epic game between the Queensland teams, so take the Dolphins +5.5

Betting tip: Dolphins +5.5 @ $2

Dolphins by 2

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About Daryl Curnow

After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA - English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism. Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 - with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports. Daryl's tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he's not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.