NRL Round 11 Expert Tips & Predictions

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NRL Round 11 kicks off this Thursday with Storm vs Broncos blockbuster, and we have our best NRL tips for every game this season.

There are some big games this week, including Panthers vs Roosters and Raiders vs Eels.

NRL Round 11 Tips

Thursday 11/5/23

7:50pm Melbourne Storm vs Brisbane Broncos @ AAMI Park

It’s surprising to see the Storm favoured to beat the Broncos, especially coming off a heavy loss to the Rabbitohs last week.

Playing at home is a bonus, but the Broncos are playing in red-hot form after smashing the Manly Sea Eagles without any threat.

They played suffocating defence, and we expect more of the same on Thursday, so take the Broncos to pull off the upset.

Betting tip: Brisbane Broncos @ $2.15

Broncos by 6


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Getting the Broncos H2H at $2.15 is simply too good to give up. They are the better team, which is showing in the NRL Premiership standings, and the Storm haven’t been their usual self in 2023. The points could flow in this game so we’ll also include overs in the total match points. To boost up the value, take Jesse Arthars to score a try. He scored one last week and he has been strong this season, so include him in selections for value.

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Friday 12/5/23

6:00pm Canterbury Bulldogs vs New Zealand Warriors @ Accor Stadium

The Warriors played with good heart against Penrith last week, despite suffering another terribly refereed game.

There will come a time when the Warriors need to start looking at their attack, which has yielded just one try from the last two games. It hasn’t been good enough, and the onus falls on Shaun Johnson.

The Bulldogs have also struggled, which is why they’re the home underdogs. They need to improve, so take the Warriors to score in a close one.

Betting tip: New Zealand Warriors @ $1.65

Warriors by 4

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8:00pm Penrith Panthers vs Sydney Roosters @ BlueBet Stadium

The Panthers looked clunky when beating the Warriors, but the two-time defending champions still emerged with the win.

Sydney hasn’t looked much better, especially after being smashed by the Cowboys on Sunday. The loss puts doubts about the Roosters, who don’t look premiership ready.

Playing at home helps the Panthers, so they should cover the 4.5-point spread.

Betting tip: Penrith Panthers –4.5 @ $1.90

Panthers by 8

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Saturday 13/5/23

3:00pm South Sydney Rabbitohs vs Wests Tigers @ Accor Stadium

The South Sydney Rabbitohs are one of the best teams in the competition after another stellar win over the Storm during Magic Round.

Playing with confidence, they should put away the Wests Tigers, who have found form themselves with consecutive wins. However, they could struggle to keep this game close.

Given the way the Rabbits are playing, they could cover the big spread.

Betting tip: South Sydney Rabbitohs –15.5 @ $1.90

Rabbitohs by 18

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5:30pm North Queensland Cowboys vs St George Dragons @ Country Bank Stadium

The Cowboys finally lived up to the pre-season type when beating the Roosters, so they should feel confident of beating the Dragons.

We thought the Cowboys would be much shorter than $1.60, especially after how poor the Dragons looked when losing to the Tigers.

Big money should come for the Cowboys, so take the value.

Betting tip: North Queensland Cowboys @ $1.60

Cowboys by 10

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7:35pm Canberra Raiders vs Parramatta Eels @ GIO Stadium

The Raiders are steadily going about their business and we think they have another win in store.

They get to play the Eels, who didn’t look good when losing to the Gold Coast Titans last week, so their confidence levels have dipped.

Bookmakers have the line at –3.5 for the Raiders, which is good enough to take in what should be a competitive contest.

Betting tip: Canberra Raiders –3.5 @ $1.90

Raiders by 6

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Sunday 14/5/23

2:00pm Newcastle Knights vs Gold Coast Titans @ McDonald Jones Stadium

We like what we’re seeing from the Titans, who scored a gutsy win over the Eels during Magic Round.

They are starting to play like the team we thought would make a top four run, and beating the Knights is well within their reach.

The Knights didn’t play last week, so they’ll be fresh, but backing the Knights with confidence is almost impossible.

Betting tip: Gold Coast Titans –1.5 @ $1.90

Titans by 6

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4:05pm Manly Sea Eagles vs Cronulla Sharks @ 4 Pines Park

The Sea Eagles looked horrible last week, so something drastic needs to change for them to beat the Sharks.

Cronulla didn’t look much better when losing heavily to the Dolphins, which was surprising given their previous form. However, they should bounce back.

The Sharks should be beating the Sea Eagles comfortably.

Betting tip: Cronulla Sharks –4.5 @ $1.90

Sharks by 8

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To find out our best bets for Round 11 of the NRL season, read our full round 11 preview and betting tips!

For detailed information on how to watch and live stream Round 11 of the NRL season, read our guide on how to live stream NRL!

Read our NRL Round 11 preview and bettings tips to find out all of the fixtures and locations for the round!

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About Daryl Curnow

After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA - English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism. Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 - with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports. Daryl's tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he's not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.