NSW vs. QLD: State of Origin Game 3 Tips & Predictions

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We have expert betting tips for State of Origin Game 2 between the Queensland Maroons and New South Wales Blues.

Queensland has already won the series, so Game 3 is a dead rubber. However, there is still plenty of value available for punters to snap up.

We look at the best bets for State of Origin Game 3, where the Maroons are favoured to win at $1.65.

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State of Origin Game 3 Tips

State of Origin Game 3 Teams

Below are the confirmed teams for State of Origin Game 3 at Accor Stadium in Sydney.

Queensland Maroons:

  1. Alex Brimson
  2. Xavier Coates
  3. Valentine Holmes
  4. Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow
  5. Murray Tulagi
  6. Cameron Munster
  7. Daly Cherry-Evans
  8. Reuben Cotter
  9. Harry Grant
  10. Tino Fa’asuamaleaui
  11. David Fafita
  12. Jeremiah Nanai
  13. Patrick Carrigan
  14. Ben Hunt
  15. Lindsay Collins
  16. Moeaki Fotuaika
  17. Cory Horsburgh

New South Wales Blues:

  1. James Tedesco
  2. Brian To’o
  3. Stephen Crichton
  4. Bradman Best
  5. Josh Addo-Carr
  6. Cody Walker
  7. Mitchell Moses
  8. Jake Trbojevic
  9. Damien Cook
  10. Reagan Campbell-Gillard
  11. Liam Martin
  12. Keaon Koloamatangi
  13. Cameron Murray
  14. Isaah Yeo
  15. Jacob Saifiti
  16. Reece Robson
  17. Clinton Gutherson

State of Origin Game 3 Betting Predictions

The Maroons have been the dominant team so far and Game 2 wasn’t competitive, so the New South Wales Blues need to do some soul searching.

Queensland has a team that could win for the next 10 years, and the Blues have a team that needs some serious adjustments, and more youth into the side. As it stands, Queensland has the clear advantage and that should show up in Game 3 on Wednesday.

Despite playing on the road, the Maroons would love to complete the 3-0 sweep. They have lost dynamo Reece Walsh, but he’s replaced by Alex Brimson, so the quality is deep with the visitors.

We were surprised by the selections of the Blues, including Newcastle Knights back Bradman Best. Nothing against Best, but he’s not at the State of Origin level.

We welcomed the dropping of Jarome Luai, who isn’t the same player without Nathan Cleary beside him. He makes way for Cody Walker, who will at least give them a bit more toughness in the middle of the field.

The best value is with Queensland at $1.65. Playing on the road isn’t easy at Origin level, but they are the clearly superior team, and that should be evident. We also fancy Queensland –2.5, and we expect them to win by at least a try.

Bet: Queensland Maroons @ $1.65

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State of Origin Game 3 First Try Scorer Tips

We would love to see Brimson score the first try for Queensland in his return match. He has been playing well for the Gold Coast Titans, and he never deserved to be dropped from the Maroons side.

However, with Walsh playing so well, he was forced out of the team. He could play with a chip on his shoulder, so we’re taking the $15 for Brimson to score first, and $3.40 to score at any time.

It should be an open game, which will give the backs plenty of chances to score.

Valentine Holmes is another excellent value bet for the Maroons. He has been in great try-scoring form, so the $2.95 to score at any time seems too good to be true.

He’s a powerful runner, and he scored an excellent try in Game 2, so look for him to repeat the dose.

For the Blues, look for Clint Gutherson to make an impact. He’s another recalled player, who has been in great scoring form in the NRL.

Bet: Alex Brimson @ $15

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State of Origin 3 Same Game Multi Bets

We’ve teamed up with betr to provide three GoBet Multis for every State of Origin match this year – one for NSW fans, one for QLD fans, and a four-leg try scorer special for everyone to cheer on!

NSW Same Game Multi

NSW to win 1-12
Unders in the total match points
Cody Walker anytime try scorer
Current odds: TBC

View our betr NSW Origin SGM here!

QLD Same Game Multi

QLD to win 1-12
Unders in the total match points
Alex Brimson anytime try scorer
Current odds: TBC

View our betr QLD Origin SGM here!

Try Scorer Same Game Multi

Alex Brimson
Valentine Holmes
Cody Walker
Clint Gutherson
Current odds: TBC

View our betr Try Scorer Origin SGM here!

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About Daryl Curnow

After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA - English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism. Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 - with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports. Daryl's tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he's not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.